Skrtel, Agger and Reina boost “thin” Liverpool for Newcastle visit

2 November 2012

Liverpool v Newcastle
Sunday, 4th November 2012; Kick-off 4pm
Premier League

Although Brendan Rodgers fielded a less than full-strength side against former club Swansea in the Capital One Cup on Wednesday, he was clearly disappointed by the manner of the defeat. His talk of the thinness of his squad is an easily decipherable code for the manager believing certain squad players at his disposal simply aren’t up to the job.

That defeat to Swansea ended a run of three home games without conceding a goal. Daniel Agger, Martin Skrtel and Pepe Reina are all expected to be back in the line-up for the visit of Newcastle this Sunday so a bet on Liverpool clean sheet at 13/10 has a far better chance of coming good than the midweek performance would suggest.

Recent result between these two sides at Anfield are certainly in the Reds’ favour as well as backing up a clean sheet bet. Liverpool have won 15 of their last 17 home games against Newcastle, the other two being draws. In nine of these wins Liverpool have kept a clean sheet. They’ll have their work cut out keeping Demba Ba and Papiss Cisse quiet but history is in their favour.

Going on stats alone the 4/7 on Liverpool to win looks a near certainty and having won the last seven of home games against Newcastle by at least two goals, Liverpool -1 goal at 6/4 has plenty of appeal too. Alan Pardew’s side

Whilst some of Liverpool’s second string may not be up to the manager’s standards his first team is certainly capable of executing his game plan. Sahin, Gerrard, Suarez and Sterling will all return to the starting line-up and against a Newcastle side which has yet to win an away game in the Premier League this season.

Luis Suarez showed how important he is to the Reds when he came on to offer a little hope against Swansea by nodding in Steven Gerrard’s cross. That takes the Uruguayans total to 10 goals in 15 games this season. Suarez is the 9/2 favorite to score first and 6/5 to score anytime.

Liverpool have won three of their last four home games against Newcastle 3-0, a repeat of which is 11/1 with Paddy Power. If you’re feeling a little nostalgic then you can back Liverpool to win 4-3 at 100/1. Sadly we don’t have odds on Stan Collymore to score last.

Going out of the league cup is a blow but with his best team out on the field Brendan Rodgers can get his rebuilding project back on a positive footing with another home win over Newcastle at 4/7.

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