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2.42% – Liverpool’s chance of a top four finish this season

Man United have suffered three straight defeats but Liverpool are still four points (plus goal difference) behind their rivals going into the final three games of the season.

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND - Sunday, March 22, 2015: Liverpool's Emre Can in action against Manchester United's Ashley Young during the Premier League match at Anfield. (Pic by David Rawcliffe/Propaganda)

Despite that, you’ll be hearing soundbytes from players and no doubt media on how Liverpool could still upset the odds and somehow nick the final Champions League spot. It’s already started with Adam Lallana quoted on the offical website saying:

“It’s not over yet. We can still finish in the top four but we need to take maximum points now. We’ll keep fighting right to the end. We all know what can happen.

“United have some tough games to play and I am sure they will drop more points.

“We have to put pressure on United by going to Stamford Bridge and getting three points. Pressure is a tough thing to deal with.

“We need to beat Chelsea and Palace and hope it all comes down to the final weekend.”

Liverpool’s last 3 games: Chelsea (a), Crystal Palace (h), Stoke (a)

Man United‘s last 3 games: Crystal Palace (a), Arsenal (h), Hull City (a)

According to the guys at the Euro Club Index, Liverpool’s statistical chance of finishing in the top four stands at 2.42 perecent, with United at 97.37 percent.

At the other end of the table, they calculate QPR and Burnley as 99 percent certain of relegation, with Sunderland favourites (63 percent) for the third spot.

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