Luis Diaz injury exposes transfer reality Liverpool need to confront in January

After hopes of a timely return to action from a knee injury, a long-term setback for Luis Diaz has posed further questions for Liverpool ahead of January.

It’s happened again.

A World Cup-interrupted domestic season is about to resume and for Liverpool supporters around the world, the prospect of locking horns with Man City after a six-week hiatus is probably the early Christmas present we all needed.

Unfortunately, a sucker punch landed before the festivities commenced. Before the World Cup had even reached its conclusion.

Luis Diaz, one of the shining lights during Liverpool’s difficult start to the season, has been ruled out until March with a knee injury.

The Colombian hadn’t featured since the 3-2 defeat to Arsenal at the Emirates but had joined up with the squad for winter friendlies with Lyon and AC Milan in Dubai.

LONDON, ENGLAND - Sunday, October 9, 2022: Liverpool's Luis Díaz goes down injured during the FA Premier League match between Arsenal FC and Liverpool FC at the Emirates Stadium. (Pic by David Rawcliffe/Propaganda)

It quickly transpired that the winger would require knee surgery, adding further insult to injury and extending his spell on the sidelines to around five months in total.

It is another devastating blow in an already casualty-plagued campaign for the Reds, one which comes a matter of weeks before the January transfer window.

It is unclear just what next month is going to look like in a post-World Cup context but the general consensus is that Liverpool will need to move on a number of fronts, and that might now include the forward line.


The evolution of the front three

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND - Saturday, September 24, 2022: Street art of Liverpool players Luis Díaz (L) and Darwin Núñez on hoardings around the construction of the new Anfield Road stand seen before the LFC Foundation friendly 'Legends of the North' match between Liverpool FC Legends and Manchester United FC Legends at Anfield. (Pic by David Rawcliffe/Propaganda)

In a world where we have also seen very little Diogo Jota in 2022/23, our impressive front line has been thin on the ground in terms of availability.

And it has visibly hampered the start of the season.

With Liverpool unlikely to see the best of Diaz until the twilight weeks of the campaign, and an awful lot still to play for on all fronts, the club can scarcely afford to take the risk attached to sticking with the status quo.

The club are conducting a gradual refresh of the forward positions, and despite placing a hefty chunk of the chips on 30-year-old Mo Salah and his bumper new contract in the summer, Jota has been joined at the club by Diaz and Darwin Nunez within the space of 24 months while the next phase of Liverpool’s attack has begun to take some sort of shape.

MOSCOW, RUSSIA - Tuesday, September 26, 2017: Liverpool's Mohamed Salah. Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino line-up before the UEFA Champions League Group E match between Spartak Moscow and Liverpool at the Otkrytie Arena. (Pic by David Rawcliffe/Propaganda)

The famed front three of Salah, Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino cemented their place in Liverpool folklore, but time catches up with everybody, and the new wave of attacking players have arrived at similar points in their careers to the originals.

It is unclear at this point whether Firmino will extend his stay on Merseyside beyond his contract expiry this summer.

But regardless of his future, there is more than enough evidence to suggest that Liverpool could benefit from an extra body in their attacking ranks.


Do Liverpool need to move now?

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND - Saturday, February 19, 2022: Liverpool's Luis Díaz celebrates after scoring the third goal during the FA Premier League match between Liverpool FC and Norwich City FC at Anfield. (Pic by David Rawcliffe/Propaganda)

January isn’t typically a month in which Liverpool like to do a great deal of business.

But the possibility of missing out on the top four for the first time in a full Jurgen Klopp season is very much alive, and the knock-on implications could be catastrophic.

In fact, parallels can be drawn to this time last season, when Liverpool found themselves nine points behind Man City as the end of January approached.

The futures of Salah, Mane and Firmino were all in doubt and optimism was fading, but a deal worth up to £50 million was struck with Porto.

Diaz arrived and revitalised a campaign that brought three finals, two trophies and the distance to champions City closed to one point after a 19-game unbeaten run that brought 16 league wins.

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND - Saturday, November 12, 2022: Liverpool's manager Jürgen Klopp befopre the FA Premier League match between Liverpool FC and Southampton FC at Anfield. (Pic by David Rawcliffe/Propaganda)

This time around, for all the noise around midfielders and links to the likes of Jude Bellingham and Enzo Fernandez, it would be reasonable to argue that adding the signing of another forward to the to-do list might be a bridge too far in terms of the immediate future.

The injuries, Fabinho’s struggles with form and the increasing age of Thiago, Jordan Henderson and James Milner have amplified the calls for midfield reinforcement, and having failed to land Aurelien Tchouameni in the summer there could well be an inquest if January concludes without the side strengthening in the middle.

It has left us with a lot to do in a short period of time, but the next five months will be vital in shaping how the subsequent seasons will look, and perhaps even contributes to the position in the queue for some of the aforementioned midfield targets themselves.

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND - Wednesday, August 31, 2022: Liverpool's Mohamed Salah looks dejected as Newcastle United score the opening goal during the FA Premier League match between Liverpool FC and Newcastle United FC at Anfield. (Pic by David Rawcliffe/Propaganda)

Summer departures of Mane, Divock Origi and Takumi Minamino meant Klopp’s forward options took a big hit, and when you add long-term injuries into that mix it leaves Liverpool very close to the brink in that area of the pitch. 

A World Cup and lack of consistent club football have meant that silly season is very much in full flow, but links to the likes of Mohammed Kudus and Cody Gakpo could have some legs and enough credibility to pique the manager’s interest.


What exactly are we looking for?

DOHA, QATAR - Saturday, December 3, 2022: Netherlands' Cody Gakpo during the FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 Round of 16 match between Netherlands and USA at the Khalifa International Stadium. Netherlands won 3-1. (Pic by David Rawcliffe/Propaganda)

What does this player look like?

The interesting thing in this particular instance is that you could put forward a strong case to look at players in any of the front three positions, and even the age profile has the potential to be quite broad.

Kudus, for example, plays the majority of his football for Ajax up front, but the 22-year-old netted twice for Ghana at the World Cup as a right winger.

Similarly, 23-year-old Gakpo almost exclusively operates on the left for PSV Eindhoven, while for the Netherlands he is a leading, lethal central forward.

Only recently, too, came a reminder of the pursuit of a then-31-year-old Max Kruse prior to Origi’s heroics in 2019 – though the German is now firmly off the table, it suggests the club are open to adding hardened experience to the squad.

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND - Tuesday, September 13, 2022: Liverpool's substitute Darwin Núñez on the bench before the UEFA Champions League Group A matchday 2 game between Liverpool FC and AFC Ajax at Anfield. (Pic by David Rawcliffe/Propaganda)

There is value in this, too, in the hopeful eventuality of needing to keep Salah, Diaz, Jota and Nunez happy and in regular action when all fit.

The short answer, however, is that Liverpool need attacking options and they need to be available whenever they are called upon.

This hasn’t always been the case in recent months.

The midfield conversation will continue to rumble on and won’t cease until the club sign at least two to refresh that area of the pitch.

DUBAI, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES - Friday, December 16, 2022: Liverpool's manager Jürgen Klopp waves to the supporters after the Dubai Super Cup 2022 match between Liverpool FC and AC Milan at the Al Maktoum Stadium. Liverpool won 4-1 but lost the extra-point penalty shoot-out 4-3. (Pic by David Rawcliffe/Propaganda)

But Liverpool have already paid the price for being one attacker light during the first third of this season and may continue to do so if the balance is not addressed.

The January transfer window isn’t usually one to get excited about from a Liverpool perspective, but it might be worth keeping an eye on this one to see how it pans out.

This time last year, it was a game-changing move for Diaz in the works; now, it may need to be a similar signing to fill in.